STOCKS to consider UP 36.6% DJIA forecast UP 34.7%
Great Stocks + Great Timing = Major Returns!
Only seven funds beat this annualized return! Funds average is 30% annualized. (Kiplinger)
Forecast the bottom of the market within three weeks!
VERY PROFITABLE FORECASTS:
March 22nd, 2009: “We’ve hit the bottom! Rally will continue! Caution when buying stocks at this time.”
DJIA 7775.60 then 10,471.50 now, UP 2695.90, UP 34.7%
July 2009: “Stock market solidifies this range as a base for a decent rally through the summer (and then after a brief correction to solidify a new base, a rally into the Fall and a better-than-expected holidays to about 10,000+ for the Dow.) Interest rates are at their low and will start to increase by 2010. Housing market has also bottomed through this year.”
November 8th, 2009: “I forecast that the market may stay here this week but the next and permanent rise up will be within the next two or three weeks. I really forecast that 11,000 is in view.”
>> Market Direction <<<
OVERALL MARKET DIRECTION from ProForecasts: (see disclaimer)
Stock market marginal increase toward end-of-year 2009 (perhaps from 10,309.92 to about 10,600) and
into January 2010 (perhaps from 10,600 to about 11,000)!
STOCKS AND INVESTMENTS from at least two top or more advisors and ProForecasts:
Stocks for December 2009 and most of 2010: AAPL, AMZN, BRK.A, F, GOOG, INTC, MCD, MSFT, WMT plus…
Silver (This laggard to Gold has more relative profit potential at this point.)
Gold GLD (While it is up quite a bit from when I forecast it months ago, it still has a ways to go up. Some suggest 1500)
QQQQ (The tech sector will be one of the first to benefit from the continued bullish market then sell late Spring 2010.)
From ProForecasts alone: REAL ESTATE! Buy quality properties in quality neighborhoods even if all are in foreclosure.
From 3 or more top sources:
AAPL, BCRX, C, GMCR, HON, JPM, WMT
From 2 or more top sources:
AA, ABVT, ALK, BAC, BBY, CAT, ENOC, F, GS, KIRK, NRGY, THS, TXN, UBS, UNH, X
From any top sources:
ABT, AMAT, ANR, AUAU, BSX, CAT, CROP, CX, DSX, FSYS, ICFI, IIIN, IR, LLL, NEP, S, SBAC, SNSS, SPN, TEVA, TI, TRMA, WEN, WR
By the time all the signs are there, it’s too late. Traders count on this!
2010:
Google phone will be huge and start a boom in “unlocked phones”!
Iraq’ oil will be a huge opportunity!
Dollar will barely start to improve finally!
Interest rates stay low but Fed indicates starting to tighten!
Real estate bottoms out!
Natural gas and clean coal become viable energy options!
Commodities increase overall!
Employment grows to more than 90%!
Gold (GLD), silver and platinum continue to gain!
If the Madoff investors had properly diversified, they would only have had 10%, at most 20%, (up to $500k protected) invested with one manager. Greed turns a blind eye.
2009 almost over, December 13th, 2009:
How you could have made an extra 10% to 57.1% in 2009 from ProForecasts!
ProForecasts: 37.1% (cost $29.95/mo or $210/yr)
Index funds: 26.14% (on $100k = loss of $10,000 compared to ProForecasts)
Mutual funds: 25.38% (on $100k = loss of $11,720 compared to ProForecasts)
Money-Market: 0.11% (on $100k = loss of $36,999 compared to ProForecasts)
401K: 0.4% (on $100k = loss of $36,700 compared to ProForecasts)
Cash: dn 20.1% (on $100k = loss of $57,100 compared to ProForecasts)
(approximate %’s for comparison only)
http://www.businessweek.com/investing/insights/blog/archives/2009/09/2009_performanc.html
http://www.tiaa-cref.org/performance/retirement/index.html
http://useconomy.about.com/od/tradepolicy/p/Dollar_Value.htm
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/11/19/401k-peformance-average-a_n_363948.html
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/partsub/funds/topfundresults.asp?View=Large&Category=All&Symbol=$LRGF
YTD: UP 36.6% (annualized)
TOTAL: UP 269.2%! AVERAGE: UP 20.7%
Funds average is 27.11% Kiplinger
AAPL 194.67
For consideration January 4th, 2009 at 90.75 = 103.92pts UP114.5% (50 weeks = UP 119.08% annualized)
ESI 90.94
For consideration January 11th, 2009 at 98.13 = -7.19pts DN7.3% (49 weeks = DN 7.5% annualized)
NFLX 55.70
For consideration February 1st, 2009 at 36.95 = 18.75pts UP50.7% (47 weeks = UP 56.09% annualized)
TSYS 8.76
For consideration February 8th, 2009 at 8.58 = 0.18pts UP2% (46 weeks = UP 2.26% annualized)
MYGN 24.31
For consideration February 22nd, 2009 at 83.93 (2:1 split March 26th) 41.9 = -17.59pts DN42% (44 weeks = DN 49.6% annualized)
JOYG 52.32
For consideration July 19th, 2009 at 36.81 = 15.51pts UP42% (21 weeks = UP 104% annualized)
MSFT 29.85
For consideration July 26th, 2009 at 22.98 = 6.87pts UP30% (20 weeks = UP 78% annualized)
YHOO 15.74
For consideration July 26th, 2009 at 17.00 = -1.26pts DN7.4% (20 weeks = DN 19.24% annualized)
C 3.95
For consideration August 8th, 2009 at 3.85 = 0.1pts UP2.6% (18 weeks = UP 7.5% annualized)
WMT 54.65
For consideration August 8th, 2009 at 49.29 = 5.36pts UP10.9% (18 weeks = UP 31.5% annualized)
PG 62.34
For consideration August 15th, 2009 at 52.37 = 9.97pts UP19% (17 weeks = UP 58.1% annualized)
JNJ 64.85
For consideration August 15th, 2009 at 60.08 = 4.77pts UP7.9% (17 weeks = UP 24.2% annualized)
Gold 1125.50
For consideration September 6th, 2009 at 944.30 = 181.20 UP19.2% (14 weeks = UP 71.3% annualized)
NEWS in reference to accurate forecasts:
RETAIL SALES
The Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose more than expected last month, up 1.3% in November after a gain of 1.1% in October. The November gain was the biggest increase since a 2.4% surge in August and brings the year-over-year change (unadjusted for inflation) back into positive territory for the first time in 15 months.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/177794-more-surprisingly-good-news-for-retail-sales?source=hp_wc
How Well Did You Time the Market? By Chuck Saletta November 28, 2009 |
The stock market tanked in 2008, only to stage a tremendous recovery that started in the spring of 2009. If you managed to sell at the top and buy in at the bottom, you’re sitting really pretty right now. If, on the other hand, you joined the ranks of those who capitulated the bottom and are only now thinking about getting back in … well, let’s just say things haven’t quite worked out so nicely for folks who fall into that camp.
http://www.fool.com/investing/value/2009/11/28/how-well-did-you-time-the-market.aspx
Summers: Job Growth By Spring December 13, 2009 10:10 AM
The President’s top economic advisor, Larry Summers, told me that “by spring employment growth will start turning positive.” During my “This Week” interview, Summers said that “everybody agrees that the recession is over,” but he did not say when the unemployment rate could be expected to drop further. The unemployment rate dipped last month to 10 percent from a peak of 10.2 percent. Many private economists, like Moody’s Mark Zandi, predict unemployment will climb through the third quarter of next year to 10.6 percent.
http://blogs.abcnews.com/george/2009/12/summers-job-growth-by-spring.html
FEDERAL RECOVERY AID: Get It While You Can
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB126065336046589177.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_MIDDLENexttoWhatsNewsSecond
LONG-TERM FORECASTS (please check back for updates as things develop):
December 2009: As forecast a month ago, better-than-expected holiday sales, especially internet sales, with much of it in the last two weeks.
1stQuarter 2010: Stock market continues to rally and economy starts to improve. Unemployment still high.
2ndQuarter 2010: Housing market starts to recover. Commercial real estate market wobbles badly.
Unemployment flattens out and starts to recover.
3rdQuarter 2010: Stock market levels out.
4thQuarter 2010: Stock market stays level with slight increase toward end of year. 2011: Global depression.
As predicted years ago: “The US is no longer the one super-power in any way…” (more about this on www.proforecasts.com )
RESULTS from 2003 to current (December 1st, 2009):
Stocks with very little turnover and low risk: 67.8%! 10.2% annualized!
Futures with only seven entries/exits: 1112.9%! 166.9% annualized!
Portfolio-A (low-risk): 10.2% annualized! Portfolio-B (moderate-risk): 13.5% annualized!
Portfolio-C (high-risk): 18.5% annualized! Portfolio-D (speculative): 26.9% annualized!
All forecasts have been documented and tracked by 100’s of subscribers and (links on www.proforecasts.com )
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ProPredictPredictions/ http://www.marketocracy.com http://www.mocktrading.com
200+ TOP SOURCES of Financial News and Recommendations to Consider:
1. What the top ten “Wall Street Whales” are doing
2. Top ten world financial newspapers
3. 62 hours of financial news
4. Top ten financial websites
5. Top twenty financial newsletters
6. Top ten financial magazines
7. Top 50 financial blogs
8. Top ten news sources from around the world
9. Top ten international overnight financial sources
10. Internet Chatter about financial markets and stocks
11. Currency and commodity markets
Weekly Weighted Forecast = ST and LT Accuracy + Timeliness + Usefulness + Beta
MASTER-MATRIX PROCESS:
The weighted consensus clustering algorithms outperform all other methods of consensus interpretation and summary. We use a weighted consensus function to combine not only “hard” clusterings but also “soft” clusterings. These clusterings are then interpreted by inquiry, by query and in relation to time sequencing. Combining different types of clusterings with multiple analysis provides a better quality consensus with more extensive depth. This multiple types, areas and depth of input and correlation maximizes the value and usefulness of the application of many relative independent data.
© 2009 Sonnenburg, Jeff 3636 N. Campbell Avenue Tucson, AZ 85719 520-204-9414
Jan
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